The Spanish Nostradamus

The number of workplace accidents in Spain will fall progressively over 2011 and 2012, according to the predictions made by a mathematical model developed by researchers from the University of Castilla-La Mancha. The biggest accident drop will be from home to work place.

(A  funny answer Sheet : proves maths can't always be perfect, as logical and real life interpretations are different)

The set of observations made by statisticians has predicted that fatal accidents will be from 54-490,Serious accidents will be from 4,970 to 4,476 and small accidents will decline."The decreasing trend is sharper among serious and fatal in itinere accidents, which will decline by 66.12% and 75,50% respectively by the end of 2012", María del Carmen Carnero and Diego José Pedregal, the authors of the study, tell SINC.

The Spanish Occupational Safety and Health Strategy is evaluating this prediction as they think that the worst case scenario is not a problem for them, but They are working on best case scenario where there is continuous watch on new data.So that they can check whether state polices are striking or not.

Warning from Carnero and Pedregal : For years such as 2008, the model does not show this strategy to have been effective yet, but it is for the 2010-2012 period. "However, the positive data must be taken with caution, because these must be compensated by the decline in employment in the country in sectors which commonly hire temporary workers, immigrants or subcontractors, such as the construction sector".

However, whatever researchers say,  applying mathematical model to natural /man made phenomena do not always make any sense. It more depends on mental peace, psychology while driving,stress levels, traffic conditions etc. But predicting future from trend can be sometimes true, as in this case ,we hope.So,please, researchers tell me my future!